Oct 1, 2026
Why most ideas are rejected

Most investment cases end in a pass. That is not a failure of sourcing; it is what a functioning filter looks like. The useful question is whether the reasons for passing are consistent.
Common reasons a case does not proceed
The market is real but the company's share of it is not credible. The unit economics only work at a scale that has never been reached. The team has no advantage in a market with low barriers. The terms leave too little for later investors. Or the case rests on a single assumption that cannot be tested.
Writing the reason down
A pass with a recorded reason is an asset. When a sector returns to attention, or a company raises again, the earlier note shows what was believed at the time and whether it turned out to be right.
The risk of passing for the wrong reason
Rejecting a case because it is unfamiliar, or because the first conversation went badly, is a process error rather than an analytical one. Reviewing passes is as important as reviewing investments, and it is done far less often.
At FS Portfolio Management passes are documented in the same format as recommendations, including what would make the case worth revisiting.
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